Very Early Predictions - 2013 Oscar Nominations

As some of you have been asking for how I see the possible 2013 Oscar nominations, will dare to play a little after the major critics' groups have announced their winners or nominations. Know that NONE of these people are Academy members, but definitively they are influencers on viewers and after all, Academy members are also viewers.

My crystal ball says that for the following categories the probable Oscar nominations are ...



Best Picture

Very Sure
Zero Dark Thirty
Argo
Lincoln

My #1 Hope (a bit crazy, but it is possible)
Amour

Maybe
Silver Linings Playbook (remember who is behind!)
Les Misérables
Life of Pi
The Master

Wouldn't mind if are not nominated, but there are other Indie films with much buzz
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Moonrise Kingdom
The Sessions

If really the Academy increased to ten films in category because wanted to include blockbusters, then the following films have possibilities
Skyfall
The Dark Knight Rises

Best Director

Very Sure
Kathryn Bigelow for Zero Dark Thirty
Ben Affleck for Argo

Maybe
Ang Lee for Life of Pi
David O. Russell for Silver Linings Playbook
Benh Zeitlin for Beasts of the Southern Wild

My HUGE problem with the Best Director predictions is that all films have possibilities to be nominated as Best Picture and often Oscar includes in the Director category, films that DO NOT make the Best Picture category. But is too early to guess what the Directors' Guild will nominate.

Best Actress

Very Sure
Jennifer Lawrence in Silver Linings Playbook
Jessica Chastain in Zero Dark Thirty

My #1 Hope
Marion Cotillard in Rust and Bone

Maybe
Emmanuelle Riva in Amour
Quvenzhane Wallis in Beasts of the Southern Will (as is a non-actor SAG cannot nominate her, wonder if will make it to the five Oscar nominations)
Helen Mirren in Hitchcock
Rachel Weiz in The Deep Blue Sea
Naomi Watts in The Impossible
Keira Knightley in Ana Karerina

Best Actor

Very Sure
Daniel Day-Lewis in Lincoln
John Hawkes in The Sessions

Maybe
Joaquin Phoenix in The Master
Jean-Louis Trintignant in Amour
Bradley Cooper in Silver Linings Playbook
Denzel Washington in Flight

Best Documentary

Very Sure
How to Survive a Plague
The Gatekeepers
Searching for Sugar Man
The Imposter

Maybe
The Invisible War
Bully

Best Foreign Language Film

Very Sure
Amour
A Royal Affair

Maybe
Sister
NO
Barbara
Blancanieves
Our Children
Lore
Fill The Void

Wish could get a nomination but probably will not
Beyond The Hills

The one really hope DOES NOT make it (not even to the shortlist of 9, but unfortunately could make it all the way to get a nod)
The Intouchables

No matter which films get nominated in this Academy Awards editon, there is one movie that I'm sure will (HAS TO) win the Best Foreign Language category is Amour by Michael Haneke.

That's it. Wont guess more as is too early.